XAUUSD Analysis 


Current Range and Levels:

XAUUSD has been trading in a range of 2319 to 2339 since 28 June 2024.The key levels are:

Resistance:2338

Support:2319

Technical Outlook:

The price action is consolidating near resistance at 2338 with support holding at 2319. A breakout above 2338 or below 2319 with significant volume could indicate the following potential moves:


Upside Targets:2346, 2352, 2363 (2338 Breaking)

Downside Targets:2309, 2300, 2390 (2319 Breaking)





Recent Economic Data Impact:

Recent economic releases have shown mixed impacts on gold:

Negative GDP, Jobless, and Core Durable Goods Data: Initially negative for gold, but countered by technical factors such as breaking the 2318 resistance level.

PCE Price Index: Unchanged, causing a 160 PIP decline post-release.

Key Events and Their Impact:

1 July 2024:

  Manufacturing PMI (Jun) and ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun): Generally favorable, but met strong resistance at 2334, leading to a pullback.

2 July 2024:

   Powell Speech and JOLTS Job Data: Powell hinted at potential rate cuts depending on inflation trends, with inflation expected to return to 2% by late 2025. Job data was unfavorable, contributing to a decline towards support at 2319.

Conclusion:

XAUUSD remains range-bound between 2319 and 2339, awaiting a breakout for clearer directional bias. Economic data and central bank signals continue to influence short-term movements, with technical levels providing key support and resistance points.

This analysis suggests caution and monitoring of breakout levels for potential trading opportunities in the coming sessions.


Note: Adjustments in trading strategy should be made based on real-time market conditions and additional economic developments.